Preseason Rankings
Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#320
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.0#140
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#311
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#310
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 3.1% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.0 15.6
.500 or above 4.6% 23.4% 4.4%
.500 or above in Conference 19.5% 39.7% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 14.1% 27.6%
First Four0.5% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round0.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 82 - 15
Quad 46 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 37   @ Creighton L 63-87 1%    
  Nov 07, 2019 145   @ Drake L 67-81 10%    
  Nov 11, 2019 204   @ Mercer L 67-77 17%    
  Nov 22, 2019 239   Monmouth L 67-73 30%    
  Nov 23, 2019 161   Iona L 73-83 19%    
  Dec 02, 2019 317   @ Elon L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 04, 2019 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 62-79 7%    
  Dec 07, 2019 185   Florida International L 82-87 33%    
  Dec 13, 2019 176   Gardner-Webb L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 16, 2019 119   @ Murray St. L 66-82 8%    
  Dec 18, 2019 80   @ Belmont L 68-88 5%    
  Dec 22, 2019 107   Wofford L 66-77 18%    
  Dec 29, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 67-91 2%    
  Jan 02, 2020 155   North Florida L 76-83 27%    
  Jan 04, 2020 336   Stetson W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 09, 2020 177   @ Lipscomb L 72-84 16%    
  Jan 16, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 18, 2020 175   @ NJIT L 65-77 16%    
  Jan 23, 2020 313   North Alabama W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 298   Jacksonville W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 30, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 57-76 6%    
  Feb 01, 2020 155   @ North Florida L 73-86 14%    
  Feb 08, 2020 177   Lipscomb L 75-81 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 336   @ Stetson L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 20, 2020 313   @ North Alabama L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 27, 2020 87   Liberty L 60-73 15%    
  Feb 29, 2020 175   NJIT L 68-74 30%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.0 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.3 4.2 0.8 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.7 7.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 18.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.5 7.6 7.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 20.8 8th
9th 1.7 4.7 6.3 4.4 1.1 0.1 18.3 9th
Total 1.7 5.0 8.9 13.2 14.5 14.1 12.1 11.0 8.1 5.0 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 77.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 62.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 24.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 88.9% 88.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.2% 19.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 12.2% 12.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 0.8% 11.4% 11.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7
10-6 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1
9-7 5.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
8-8 8.1% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.9
7-9 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.8
6-10 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-11 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-12 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-13 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
2-14 8.9% 8.9
1-15 5.0% 5.0
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%